as what happened before the tale begins,
how the terrestrial planets survived and
why Mars is so small. Recent proposals,
including Levison’s tumbling planets
idea and a second proposal from another
Nice architect, are like a prologue, taking
place in the roughly 5 million years after
the birth of the solar system, long before
the Nice model kicks off. Another tweak
seeks to keep the Earth safe from the
model’s mid-tale turbulence by introducing a fifth giant planet — a long-lost
sibling now wandering through interstellar space.
A Nice story
Reconstructions of the solar system’s
early years may benefit from observa-
tions of exoplanet systems, evidence
contained in asteroids and other small
bodies, and future spacecraft visits to
the giant planets. But most studies probe
this early epoch using the laws of physics
to simulate the evolution of planetary
orbits, given various starting condi-
tions. “One thing that’s nice about this
branch of astronomy is that the physics
are understood,” says astronomer Greg
Laughlin of the University of California,
Santa Cruz, who studies how planetary
systems form and evolve. “These guys are
all just pulling at each other and interact-
ing with Newtonian gravity.”
Scientists tend to accept a simulated
scenario for the early solar system when
the most common outcome matches
the current planetary configuration.
The Nice model—first reported by
Levison and his colleagues in 2005 —
does that well. It starts with the four
giants in a compact configuration
between 5.45 times the Earth’s current
orbiting distance from the sun, known
as an astronomical unit, and 17 times
Earth’s orbiting distance.
The giant planets may have tumbled
outward from the sun during their forma-
tion, growing like rolling snowballs as
material was collected along the way.
and Saturn’s orbits evolve into a configuration that upends the adolescent solar
system, flinging small bodies inward
and scattering Uranus and Neptune out
to their current distances. “Things start
going all over the place,” says Konstantin
Batygin, a graduate student at Caltech
who is basing his work on the Nice model.
Neptune ends up where it is now, out
at 30 astronomical units. The material
hurled toward the inner solar system
explains what’s known as the Late Heavy
Bombardment, a period dominated by
flying comets and asteroids and recorded
in cratered scars on bodies such as the
moon (SN: 2/14/09, p. 26).
Only after the solar system had been
around for about 900 million years did
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